Nobel Prize Time Approaches

Just a quick reminder that this year’s crop of Nobel Prizes will be announced next week, with the one of most personal interest to me – the Physics Prize – being due on Tuesday 8th October. Before going on here is a picture of my own Nobel Prize Medal:

 

It’s actually chocolate inside, though it is 13 years old and by now probably inedible if not toxic. You can read about how I got it here.

Anyway, as usual there has been quite a lot of speculation about these awards. Despite not having a great track-record of success some persist in trying to use citation metrics as a predictor; see here for example. Others have a less formulaic approach; see e.g. here.

I don’t really have any idea who is going to get it this year, but here are three possibilities:

  • Extrasolar Planets. This has to be a strong contender, but to whom should the prize be awarded?  Possible winners include Didier Queloz, Aleksander Wolszczan, Dale Frail, and Michel Mayor, but the maximum number allowed to win is three….
  • Geometric Phase. Although if they were going to win they probably would have done so by now, I still think there’s an outside change for Michael Berry and Yakir Aharonov.
  • Quantum Information. This isn’t my area but is very hot these days. It’s also very broad so I’m not sure what specific area and which individuals would prompt an award – quantum cryptography is a possibility, but who?

Anyway, I’d welcome other suggestions through the comments box.

 

 

 

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11 Responses to “Nobel Prize Time Approaches”

  1. Anton Garrett Says:

    For quantum information, the leading experimentalist is Anton Zeilinger.

    Offtopic but RIP Ginger Baker.

    • telescoper Says:

      If it goes for quantum entanglement, I’d go for John Clauser, Alain Aspect and Anton Zeilinger.

      • Clauser, Aspect, and Zeilinger have been tipped for Nobel for a long time. Everything related to quantum computing is certainly very high profile at the moment, so a Nobel for them wouldn’t be a surprise.

        I don’t expect another astrophysics Nobel so soon after LIGO.

      • So I was wrong, it’s astrophysics. A bit odd combination of two unrelated subfields, though.

      • Phillip Helbig Says:

        If the prize is shared (which with 2 is always 50/50, with three is always 50/25/25 or 1/3 each), sometimes the winners were collaborators, sometimes working on related stuff, sometimes not.

      • Phillip Helbig Says:

        Aspect is certainly supported by the Beard Liberation Front.

  2. Irwin Shapiro for proposing and measuring shapiro delay, which is now so ubiquitous

  3. Congratulations. You hit the jackpot with one of the suggestions.

    I guess this field had to wait for Marcy to disappear.

    • telescoper Says:

      Imagine the fuss if Marcy had won!

      • Phillip Helbig Says:

        Considering that another Nobel Committee has been dealing with complaints of sexual harassment, I think that the physics committee would have been aware of the issue.

  4. […] recent post was half right in the sense that half this year’s prize goes to Michel Mayor and Didier […]

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