Predictive Blogging

News has emerged that on 14th April 2020 Dominic Cummings doctored an old blog post to make it look like he had predicted a coronavirus outbreak. Given the indisputable fact that Mr Cummings is a career liar this should not in itself come as a surprise. What might surprise a few people is that this episode reveals that this self-styled genius is must in reality be rather stupid if he thought he could get away with hiding such a blatant attempt at self-promotion. Still, the truth obviously no longer matters in post-Brexit Britain so he probably won’t face any serious consequences.

I, of course would, never add things to old blog posts to make myself look clever.

I would, however, like to point out just a few of the various uncannily accurate predictions I have made in the course of my almost twelve years of blogging.

For example, in this September 2009 review of a performance of La Traviata by Welsh National Opera I wrote:

My love of Italian opera makes me regret even more that the UK will be be leaving the European Union in 2020.

And in this account of the May 2015 England versus New Zealand Test Match at Lord’s you will find:

… it was still quite gloomy and dark. My mood was sombre, thinking about Donald Trump’s forthcoming victory in the 2016 United States Presidential Elections.

My prescience is not only limited to politics, however. In my 2013 post about the Queen’s Birthday Honours List you will read:

The name that stood out for me in this year’s list is Professor Jim Hough, who gets an OBE. Jim is Professor of Experimental Physics at the University of Glasgow, and his speciality is in the detection of gravitational waves. Gravitational waves haven’t actually been detected yet, of course, but the experimental techniques designed to find them have increased their sensitivity by many orders of magnitude in recent years, Jim having played a large part in those improvements. I imagine he will be absolutely thrilled in February 2016, when gravitational waves are finally detected.

You see now that Niels Bohr wasn’t quite right when he said “It is difficult to make predictions, especially about the future”. Sometimes it’s the past that’s hardest to predict.

 

4 Responses to “Predictive Blogging”

  1. Phillip Helbig Says:

    The problem is not blatant lies which usually, like here, get exposed. The problem is that not all truths are heard. Of course, there isn’t time for everything, and we must rely on others to make some choices for us. But sometimes, for various reasons, various sources get a monopoly on truth. Those who have evidence to the contrary are deemed to be crazy at best and dangerous at worst.

    I’m not talking about the Illuminati or the Freemasons or QAnon or other such tripe here. I am talking about our own field of science, and the fact that the problem will get worse because too few people want to risk rocking the boat—not for fear of falling out, which is understandable, but for fear of getting wet, which is not.

    If I suddenly disappear then people can guess why.

    • Phillip Helbig Says:

      Just to be clear, I’m talking of disappearing from science, not from the Earth (at least, not yet). I can’t say more here for fear of repercussions, but some readers here might know what I’m referring to. My email address is easy to find for anyone genuinely concerned.

    • Anton Garrett Says:

      In the interesting 2017 book “The square and the tower”, a genuine academic historian (Niall Ferguson) includes chapters about the Illuminati and the role of Freemasonry in the American revolution. The subject of the book is the tension between networks and hierarchies in human history, and Ferguson uses the town square and the town hall tower as metaphors for the two. It is an interesting read that cites and does not outrun the evidence (unlike a lot of more hysterical material); the relevant chapters are nos 1, 10 and 20.

      Presumably nobody would dispute that freemasonry can be sinister in the sense that it is liable to corrupt trials, cause appointments to be made other than on merit, etc. Its belief system is also wholly incompatible with Christianity, a fact soberly exposed by Rev’d Walton Hannah in his books Darkness Visible (1952) and Christian by Degrees (1954), written at the height of masonic influence in the Church of England.

      The books of Antony Sutton are worth reading on modern shadowy networks of power – again, a genuine scholar, at least before he went senile (and fell, very late in life, for cold fusion). Bilderberg I do not regard as any more sinister than Davos, but I do wonder what they get up to at Bohemian Grove and why, given Jon Ronson’s exposee in the relevant episode of his semi-whimsical 2001 TV series “Secret Rulers of the World”.

  2. In the US, the quote “It is difficult to make predictions, especially about the future” it usually attributed to a guy named Yogi Berra, a baseball player turned media personality. Other quotes include:

    “The future ain’t what it used to be.”

    “If you don’t know where you’re going, you might end up someplace else.”

    Google points to both Berra and Bohr.

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